How To Bet the Eagles-Giants Game

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Welcome the newest sponsor of The700Level.com as they break down the Eagles-Giants game from a betting perspective. Below, Al DeMarco of SportsInfo.com tells us which way to bet this Sunday.

Eagles-Giants. Finally a game to get excited about for Philly fans. That is, as long as Winston Justice isn’t playing and Brian Westbrook is.

Before getting to the breakdown for Sunday night’s clash, let’s review how the season has been going from a gambling perspective in Vegas.

Underdogs are 64-63-4 against the spread (ATS) following the Broncos’ stunning upset of the Browns in Cleveland on Thursday. Denver’s victory came on the heels of the puppies going 9-5 versus the oddsmakers last weekend with five of them winning outright.

Breaking down the numbers further: Of those 64 underdogs that have covered, 42 of them have won outright. That’s an amazing 66% clip which leads to this betting strategy to be considered: If you like a dog, it’s not a bad investment to make a smaller wager on the pup on the moneyline as well. Now obviously, when we’re talking lousy teams like the Lions and Chiefs who have no shot at winning outright, a smaller moneyline investment would be foolish. But if you have a quality team, why not take a shot? Remember, that strategy paid off big time in the Super Bowl last year when the Giants paid +350 in their upset of the Patriots.

The other trend that has been money in the bank this season is
betting against Double-Digit Favorites, who are a money-burning 2-13
versus the oddsmakers. And six of those chalks have lost outright!

Last week’s double-digit favorite that failed to cover was
Chicago, who needed a Rex Grossman-led rally to nip Detroit. This week
you’ve got San Diego laying 15 at home against Kansas City, while
Carolina and Arizona are laying 9 ½, with the potential to go to -10,
versus Oakland and San Francisco, respectively.

As for the New
York-Philly game, before I break this one down, consider this: I’ve
been a fan of the Eagles since Andy Reid turned the franchise around,
and I’ve made a few bucks on the Birds over the years.  But as a
handicapper with 25 years experience, I can tell you there is no room
for betting with your heart in this business. At the same time, I also
happen to be the featured handicapping analyst on SportsNet New York,
appearing every Friday on Daily News Live, so you better believe I
follow the Giants as close as the Eagles.

Generally you can back
up the Brinks truck when Big Blue is on the road as New York has won 14
of its last 15 straight-up on the highway (regular and postseason plus
Super Bowl), going 13-2 ATS. And as an underdog, they’re on a 15-4
spread run.

Last Sunday I used them as my Best Bet when they crushed the Cowboys.

Two Sundays ago I used them as a free pick and said they’d win outright at Pittsburgh.

Today, however, I’m bleeding green for the Eagles.

Those
stats above regarding New York’s performances on the road are
impressive, but the Giants last two games on the highway are the ones
to focus on. Bottom line: They only beat the Steelers because of a bad
snap and since their defense abused Ben Roethlisberger. That’s not
happening against Donovan McNabb, who over the past few weeks has
started running a bit once more. And remember their road game prior to
playing Pittsburgh, the Monday night debacle at Cleveland? Enough said.

Fact
is, Eli Manning hasn’t played as well of late. His average yards per
game is down 83 the past four games versus the first four of the
season; his QB rating has plummeted 21 points in the same period.

The
Eagles are 19-8-1 ATS during Andy Reid’s tenure when playing in
division with revenge. And after losing already this year to the
Cowboys and Redskins, another NFC East loss is out of the question at
this stage. Plus, consider this: Philly’s 48-20 SU record in the months
of November and December since 2001 is the league’s second-best winning
percentage.

My call: Eagles 23, Giants 17

This game is
priced right at Philly -3, and that’s the price you should get when you
play it. If you’re saddled with -3 ½, you should definitely buy down
the 1/2 point to insure you at least push should Philadelphia only win
by a field goal.

Now, do you buy down the 1/2 point from 3 to 2
1/2 to insure Philadelphia wins on a field goal as well? Well, we're
always trying to push the odds a little more in our favor. Thus buying
the 1/2 point down to 2 1/2 is the smart move money-wise as well.

Want
more free picks? I’ve got two more in the NFL on Oakland-Carolina and
New Orleans-Atlanta on my Free Daily Video Report at SportsInfo.com. Plus, I’ve got 3 College Freebies as well on North
Carolina-Georgia Tech, Rice-Army and Cal-Usc. No purchase necessary; no
registration required and they’re all backed by in-depth analysis.

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